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The article discusses the global economic situation in 2026, explaining that the economy is facing two opposing shocks: rising energy prices resulting from conflicts in the Middle East, which increase inflation and hinder growth, and a significant breakthrough in the artificial intelligence sector, which drives investment and economic activity, leading to higher demand for energy, metals, and skilled labor. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) projects global economic growth of 3%, but this remains below pre-financial crisis levels. Public debt is expected to approach 100% of GDP by 2029, with warnings that inflation caused by these two shocks threatens the stability of economic policies and central banks. The article also highlights increasing inflationary pressures from rising energy costs, technology expenses, higher demand for metals, and a 24% increase in energy prices. It warns that spending on artificial intelligence could surpass two trillion dollars in 2026, further boosting resource demand and creating new inflationary pressures. These developments pose additional challenges for monetary policies aimed at managing mounting public debt and widening growth gaps between developed and developing countries.
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