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The Federal Reserve helps make the U.S. economy more resilient by managing borrowing costs, demand, and inflation, but it is not the only factor. Spending, investment, and productivity growth also support economic activity, while the Fed’s tools cannot address supply shocks or guarantee continued growth. On September 16, 2026, the Fed raised interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point, to a range of 3.75%–4%, in an effort to bring inflation back to its 2% target. Annual inflation stood at 3.7% in September, driven in part by rising energy prices. That same month, the economy added 29,000 nonfarm jobs, and the unemployment rate held steady at 4.2%, while the Federal Open Market Committee projected growth of 2.3% in 2026 and inflation of 3.7%. The article concludes that the Fed’s ability to contain inflation without weakening employment and economic activity depends on how monetary policy interacts with the strength of the real economy—and does not guarantee continued resilience.
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