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An international relations expert stated that Iran's threats to disrupt navigation in the Indian Ocean are exaggerated and are part of a negotiating pressure on the United States. He clarified that the region is of great importance to China, India, and other Asian countries, and that Iran is not capable of imposing widespread control over maritime traffic. He indicated that Iran might attempt to obstruct some vessels near the Strait of Hormuz or the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, but it lacks the ability to close the main crossings entirely. The expert emphasized that major powers will not permit a significant escalation in maritime routes, and that Iran uses such statements to serve its negotiating interests. Additionally, he noted that Iran’s actual capacity to disrupt navigation remains uncertain.
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