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The International Monetary Fund expects the global economy to achieve a GDP growth rate exceeding 3% in 2026, primarily supported by strong investment in artificial intelligence, despite ongoing energy disruptions caused by the war in the Middle East. However, the fund warned of rising downside risks, including increasing debt burdens and deteriorating conditions in some countries. Growth in the Gulf region is projected to decline significantly, with GDP contracting in Saudi Arabia, Iran, Iraq, and other nations. Additionally, it was noted that the continuation of the war and rising oil prices could slow down growth and boost inflation, especially if the situation worsens to push oil prices to $130 per barrel, which would negatively impact global growth and raise inflation to 5.2% in 2027.
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