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The Copernicus Climate Change Service forecast that 2026 would exceed the 1.5°C warming threshold above pre-industrial levels for only the second time, after 2024, and become the second-hottest year on record, with a 20% chance of surpassing the 2024 record. October saw the highest global average temperature ever recorded for that month, at 1.75°C above pre-industrial levels, and was the third consecutive month to exceed the 1.5°C threshold. The average temperature from 2023 to 2026 is also expected to exceed that threshold. Experts attributed the continued warming to human activity and El Niño, and called for the duration and magnitude of the overshoot to be limited and temperatures brought down quickly.
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