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The ceasefire agreement between Lebanon and Israel represents a fragile truce in a long-standing conflict intertwined with weapons and politics. It threatens the future of Lebanese resistance, especially Hezbollah, which faces increasing domestic and regional pressures. Despite changes in the strategic environment and Israeli military operations, the resistance still possesses a strong deterrent capability, reinforced by its ties to Iran and independent funding that bolster its position. The options for disarmament depend on the balance of power regionally and internationally, and Lebanon's future remains contingent on major developments in the area.
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