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The article focused on analyzing the war strategy between the United States and Iran since the outbreak of the conflict in October 2023, with an emphasis on the use of coercive and deterrent tools in escalating military tensions in the Gulf region. It detailed the stages of military operations, from the U.S. attack on Iran in February 2026 to the signing and subsequent collapse of the Islamabad Memorandum, along with current escalation methods ranging from punitive deprivation to direct punishment. The article also reviewed coercive tools such as deprivation, punishment, and risk escalation, as well as fragile deterrence conditions. Additionally, it highlighted the challenges in achieving balance and mutual understanding between the parties. In conclusion, it indicated that the current escalation reflects the failure of coercive efforts and their ability to force Iran to retreat or negotiate, amid increasing fragility in the strategic equation and Iran's readiness to bear the burdens strategically.
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