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Reasons for Turkey-Israel Tensions Remaining Stable
The article warns that the confrontation between Turkey and Israel will not escalate into an open war but will remain within the bounds of "controlled conflict" due to regional and international balances. Israel perceives Turkey as a threat to its security, particularly as Ankara increases its influence in Syria and Lebanon, and fears the escalation of Turkey's role in the region, including support for Hezbollah and its activities in Lebanon and Syria. Despite their commercial and diplomatic relations, Israel enforces red lines regarding the Turkish military presence on Syrian territory and seeks to prevent Syria from acquiring air and missile weapons. Turkey and Israel avoid direct escalation, relying on their NATO membership and an international framework, with expectations that tensions will continue within the scope of "controlled conflict," occasionally marked by media escalations and indirect support leaks, while maintaining unspoken understandings to prevent open war.
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