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Retired Israeli Major General Yitzhak Brik warned that launching a new attack on Iran would not guarantee the overthrow of its regime or victory. Achieving that would require extensive ground operations that Israel is not capable of carrying out and the United States does not appear willing to undertake. He said Tehran could respond by using its capabilities and regional allies, threatening Israeli infrastructure and depleting its air-defense systems. Disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb could also have global repercussions for trade, energy and communications. He concluded that war could deepen the military, economic and social pressures on Israel and its international isolation, destabilizing its security and economy rather than bringing down the Iranian regime.
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