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Diplomatic and Western reports have indicated that the United States plans to implement a new strategy against Iran, involving the imposition of an extensive naval blockade on its coasts and the expansion of the military target bank. The goal is to weaken Iran's operational and political capabilities, especially concerning freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz. Estimates suggest that this approach will deplete Iran’s capabilities, thereby strengthening the US position in negotiations and limiting Tehran’s use of the Strait of Hormuz as a leverage point. The American strategy includes targeting Iranian Revolutionary Guard sites along the coasts and their rear lines, reducing their ability to threaten international shipping, and tightening economic sanctions—particularly on oil exports. Military assessments favor expanding strikes against Guard bases and facilities, while delaying a ground invasion; however, the final decision remains with the US President. It is worth noting that diplomatic efforts are underway to establish a mechanism to regulate navigation through the strait, though there are obstacles related to the nuclear file, sanctions, and frozen assets. Sources expect that any broad military action could involve targeting Iranian military infrastructure and the missile program, as part of intensified pressures coordinated between Washington and Israel.
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