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Western intelligence reports reveal that Moscow may use the hinting of military movements and mobilization operations near European borders, particularly in the Kaliningrad enclave, as part of a strategy to keep European countries in a state of constant alert. The goal is to exhaust their military and economic capacities. This approach aims to increase pressure on European resources, hindering their ongoing support for Ukraine and making it more difficult to face military challenges, especially with winter approaching, as Moscow seeks to prolong the war of attrition. Assessments focus on the possibility of Moscow carrying out widespread recruitment efforts after the September elections, with particular sensitivity around Kaliningrad due to the complexity it poses to NATO, despite Russia officially denying any intention to escalate confrontation with Europe.
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