Vienna 1814 Principles and Middle East Conflict
The article discusses the possibility that a large-scale American-Israeli war against Iran could significantly weaken the latter and reshape the regional system in the Middle East. It emphasizes the importance of balance and non-hegemony to ensure lasting stability. The comparison is made with the Congress of Vienna (1814-1815), where European countries demonstrated that sustainable peace requires parties to integrate while maintaining a balance of power rather than imposing dominance on any one of them. The article affirms that achieving stability in the Middle East necessitates building a regional system where influence is balanced, preventing any one party from gaining absolute control. It also argues that military defeat of Iran would not eliminate its ability to destabilize the region, as it possesses indirect tools through organizations and allies. The solution, according to the article, lies in establishing security and political arrangements that respect sovereignty, prevent any one side from dominating, and uphold the principle of balance—while also limiting Israel's influence supported by the US—to ensure lasting political peace in the region.
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