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2026-11-11T02:35:00.000Z

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Lebanon: Strategy Holds

Lebanon: Strategy Holds

The article argues that a Democratic victory in both chambers of Congress in the November 3, 2026 elections would not change the core of U.S. strategy toward Lebanon, but would alter the tools, scale, and timing of pressure and support. Donald Trump may impose new sanctions during the transition period, while rhetoric against Hezbollah is likely to soften as U.S.–Iran negotiations advance, even as the group remains designated a terrorist organization. Support for the Lebanese army is expected to continue, while Washington avoids pushing it into a confrontation with Hezbollah. The United States is also expected to resume framework negotiations with Israel and use aid to pressure Lebanon over Hezbollah’s weapons south of the Litani River. The article concludes that Washington will remain focused on stability and preventing Lebanon from falling under Iranian influence, while Congress seeks to curb efforts to cut off support or drag the army into a clash.

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