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النهار
Trump’s Iran Revenge War
An-Nahar’s analysis holds that the possibility of a resumption of war between the United States and Iran remains, as Donald Trump may seek a military gain before the new Congress takes office in January 2027, or a way out that preserves his political image. The analysis links this to the “madman theory,” which relies on unpredictable behavior to extract concessions, but does not conclude that Trump has decided to go to war. The administration is divided between officials pushing to continue military and economic pressure and others who want to give diplomacy a chance. Meanwhile, the wide gap between Tehran’s and Washington’s demands is hindering prospects for an agreement and increasing the risk of the confrontation spreading.
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