Melilla Crisis and Housing Protests Weigh on Sánchez Votes
The article discusses the repercussions of the Ceuta crisis on Spain's political and electoral landscape. It has shifted from being a border and illegal migration issue to a security and political matter that impacts the outcome of the early elections announced by Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez, scheduled for November 29. Analyses indicate that the Socialist Party lost about 600,000 votes between the beginning and end of September, most of which were abstentions, leading to a significant decline in their voter base—especially among women, retirees, and residents of major cities. The results further show that this decline in support for the Socialists did not directly translate into gains for the Popular Party or Vox, as the Popular Party remains ahead in voter share, with an 8.4 percentage point lead over the Socialists. Expectations also suggest that the right may come close to forming a future government. The Ceuta crisis, marked by an unprecedented influx of over 70,000 migrants, is a significant factor influencing the electoral situation, as the opposition links the crisis to the government's weak management, turning it into a major political issue used in power struggles.
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