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The Security Council’s failure to extend the mandate of the MINURSO mission led to its expiration on October 31, 2026. The U.S. draft received 11 votes but was vetoed by Russia, while Russia’s customary extension draft received only three votes. Salem Abdel Fattah sees this development as reflecting disagreement over the future of the UN approach and as opening the way to move from the previous framework to negotiations that would make the autonomy initiative under Moroccan sovereignty a basis for a solution. He says that turning political gains into results requires clarifying the institutions and safeguards of autonomy, broadening international support, and addressing the humanitarian situation in the Tindouf camps.
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