US exit from Iraq Creates Middle East Vacuum
After the end of U.S. military presence in Iraq, the Middle East will undergo a transformation, becoming a region where local powers deal directly with each other instead of relying on the United States as a security guarantor. The study anticipates that Israel will become an independent regional power, possessing an economic military and nuclear deterrent, which could lead to diplomatic arrangements with the Palestinians and the Arab world. Meanwhile, Gulf countries will take responsibility for their own security and develop their defensive relations. China, on the other hand, will remain cautious, focusing on oil flows and trade exchanges, while reducing dependence on American influence and avoiding scenarios of chaos or collapse. The region itself will bear the responsibility for its stability, with the potential for disturbances remaining, but these will depend on the decisions and initiatives of local populations. If the United States departs, the region will remain turbulent but with greater self-reliance, unlike if it stays, in which case crises and tensions could intensify.
Notice: This Is an AI-Generated Summary
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