Washington and Tel Aviv delay Iran, Gaza, actions until post-elections
Analyses indicate that the United States and Israel are moving toward a "strategic freeze" on regional issues, particularly concerning Iran, Gaza, and Lebanon, with no major steps anticipated before the upcoming American and Israeli elections. Currently, the Trump administration has decided to reduce its level of engagement with Iran, focusing instead on maintaining sanctions and maritime pressure, without pushing for new negotiations. A reassessment of the stance is expected after the November congressional elections, possibly in conjunction with the formation of a new Israeli government. Regarding Iran, the Americans continue to exclude the issue of the Strait of Hormuz, allowing partial oil transit provided no fees are paid to Iran and there is a possible understanding with Oman. This approach aims to help alleviate the oil price crisis. The analysis shows that the current trend relies on four main factors: maintaining domestic support during elections, Iran's worsening economic situation, increasing Iran’s demands, and the U.S. need to rebuild its stockpile of interceptor weapons. As for the Palestinians and Gaza, two separate projects are underway: the first involves coordination with Israel to establish a residential neighborhood and to prepare an international force with the goal of separating Gaza from Hamas and disarming the group; the second concerns a plan to gradually disarm Hamas, which Israel refuses to implement before Hamas surrenders all its weapons. It is expected that the Iranian, Gaza, and Lebanese issues will remain frozen until the elections conclude, after which Washington and Tel Aviv will adopt a new stance.
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