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Netanyahu and the October Surprise
Israeli analyses indicate that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu may resort to security or military escalation before the upcoming elections, in an effort to enhance his chances of remaining in power despite declining poll prospects and mounting pressures due to previous failures. Reports also discuss the possibility of launching an attack on Iran, coinciding with increasing tensions in the West Bank resulting from settler assaults, along with hints that the security situation might be exploited to postpone the elections or rearrange the political landscape. It is noted that the decision to escalate largely depends on external and internal stances, with the possibility of an "October Surprise" of a security nature still under consideration, though no final decision has been confirmed.
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