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The Israeli elections scheduled for October 27, 2026, have witnessed a political escalation with direct intervention from Trump to support Benjamin Netanyahu, tying the fate of the upcoming government to the future of the confrontation with Iran. Trump announced his full support for Netanyahu, considering him a strong strategic partner in facing Iran, and warned that electing any other figure could lead to security escalation at higher American costs, especially regarding Iran. This backing marks a significant shift after a period of hesitation and aims to bolster Netanyahu's chances of remaining in power amid rising internal divisions, accusations of racism, and ethnic tensions—particularly following insulting remarks made by an ally of Netanyahu against his opponent Gadi Eizenkot. Netanyahu relies on his relationship with Trump to rally right-wing supporters and demonstrate that his continued rule is essential for the ongoing US and Israeli policies against Iran. Meanwhile, opposition parties are striving to increase voter turnout to boost their chances of controlling the Knesset, especially as support for the Haredi parties wanes and small party votes remain split. Estimates suggest that election results will largely depend on the distribution of votes and the failure of some electoral alliances to surpass the electoral threshold, which could impact the prospects of forming a government. The biggest challenge remains Netanyahu’s ability to leverage American support amid waning popularity and growing internal divisions, as security and regional issues continue to drive the Israeli political scene toward a decisive confrontation that could determine the country’s future domestic and foreign policies.
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