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US-Iran Standoff Paths
Democratic gains in the U.S. midterm elections open up three possible paths for the war with Iran: a return to diplomacy and a ceasefire, a limited military strike, or a slide into a regional war of attrition. A Republican loss of control of Congress would not automatically halt military operations, but it would give Democrats tools to scrutinize and pressure their funding. The war is estimated to have cost around $47 billion, with an additional funding request of up to $67 billion. The economic burden has intensified pressure on the Trump administration: 65% of Americans blame its policies for the continued rise in the cost of living. A settlement or escalation therefore remains dependent on U.S. decisions and understandings with Tehran.
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