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Wall Street reports predict that companies in the trading and investment banking sector will achieve record profits in 2026, exceeding $90 billion before taxes, surpassing the previous record of $65.1 billion in 2025. This growth reflects a sharp increase in underwriting revenues, which rose by 68% in the first half of the year, along with a 16.4% increase in advisory and account oversight revenues. This strong performance has led to an increase in sector employment to more than 212,000 jobs and a boost in the sector's contribution to the New York State budget to $26.3 billion for fiscal year 2025-2026, up 29% from the previous year. However, the report warned of risks from geopolitical conflicts, inflation, and developments in artificial intelligence that could impact economic stability—particularly given the growing reliance on bank yields for public finances.
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