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الوطن
Midterms Spur Deal or War
The 2026 U.S. midterm elections are taking place as the war with Iran enters its ninth month, amid divisions within Donald Trump’s administration over whether to pursue a deal through mediation or resume strikes. Iranian leaders are betting that Republican electoral losses could constrain Trump, but economic pressure and the naval blockade are also pushing Tehran to consider a settlement. Qatar’s proposal includes reopening the Strait of Hormuz and releasing some frozen Iranian funds in exchange for nuclear commitments, followed by a resumption of negotiations. The risk of renewed war remains if talks falter or Trump refuses to abandon a plan for short, intense strikes.
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