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Russia's Gray Zone Escalation Risks

Russia's Gray Zone Escalation Risks

The article discusses Russia's escalation of its attack rate on Europe and Ukraine through repeated drone attacks targeting military and civilian sites. The goal is twofold: to make support for Ukraine more costly and portray it as an escalation, and to test NATO's Article 5 to increase pressure on the alliance. It explains that Moscow employs provocative strategies to provoke limited reactions and reduce the likelihood of direct intervention, while anticipating that these attacks are just the beginning of heightened tensions, even though NATO's responses are not yet fully prepared to confront the potential Russian escalation.

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