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Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei called on army leaders to prepare for a forceful confrontation and to respond immediately to any threat “without geographic restrictions”—a stance that could expand the scope of targeting to maritime traffic through IRGC proxies. Analyst Fahd al-Shulaimi said that U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance’s message to Mohsen Rezaei, and Rezaei’s acceptance of it, could reflect an implicit Iranian retreat from its negotiating conditions and give Washington grounds for possible strikes once the diplomatic track is exhausted. He added that Iran’s capabilities had declined compared with their prewar levels, and that both sides’ insistence on their conditions could lead to a military escalation in the coming days.
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