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The number of children entering first grade in South Korea fell to a historic low of 301,442 in 2026. Next year, the number eligible to enroll is expected to be 272,337—10% fewer than the number of children born in 2019. The decline is attributed to falling birth rates since the mid-2010s, despite births rising to 238,317 in 2024 and 254,341 in 2025. Student numbers are expected to keep falling through 2030, though they will remain above 200,000. Experts warn that shrinking student populations could harm the learning environment, accelerate school closures and mergers, concentrate more people and resources around Seoul, and reduce potential economic growth.
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