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2026-10-22T06:39:01.000Z

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IMF predicts 2026 Middle East recession

IMF predicts 2026 Middle East recession

The International Monetary Fund expects the economies of the Middle East, North Africa, and Pakistan to shrink by 1.3% in 2026 as a result of the repercussions of the US-Israeli war on Iran. This has impacted sectors such as energy, shipping, tourism, and trade, with a strong recovery expected in the following year at 6.6%. However, the outlook remains "highly uncertain," with warnings about ongoing energy disruptions and their effects on growth and inflation, as well as varying degrees of damage between oil-exporting and oil-importing countries.

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