Egypt's Birth Rate Decline and Potential Dividend
A family health survey in Egypt reported a significant decline in the birth rate, decreasing from 2.85 children per woman in 2021 to 2.33 children in 2025, representing an 18.2% decrease. This decline reflects comprehensive developmental policies that include improving women's health, empowering women, and developing rural areas. It is considered an indicator of social and developmental transformation aimed at balancing population growth with economic development. Factors contributing to the decline include economic reasons such as rising marriage costs, increased divorce rates, high unemployment, and the rising cost of living, along with cultural changes in family attitudes toward having fewer children. Experts believe that the goal is not only to reach the replacement level of 2.1 children but to go further by enhancing the quality of life for children and the health of mothers, as well as harnessing human value in the development process. The decrease in birth rates is seen as a crucial step to support economic growth, improve service balance, and focus on effectively utilizing human resources to achieve sustainable development.
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