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The letter from U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance to Mohsen Rezaei puts the Donald Trump administration before a choice: reach an understanding with Tehran in exchange for nuclear concessions, or treat the failure of diplomacy as proof that other options have been exhausted and move to pressure and escalation. Iran insists on guarantees before making concessions, while Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and Turkey are trying to provide a regional off-ramp to de-escalation. Tom Barrack said efforts would be made over the next two or three weeks to agree on next steps—not to close the file. The article warns that if Tehran uses negotiations to wear Trump down, it could push him from seeking an agreement with the regime to trying to weaken it. It stresses that successful diplomacy requires flexibility from Iran and a clear U.S. strategy to protect its allies if diplomacy fails.
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