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The mission of the American forces in Iraq concluded with their departure from Erbil Base on September 30th, placing full security responsibility on Iraqi forces and marking the end of the "Steadfast" phase, which lasted nearly 12 years to combat ISIS. Despite the withdrawal, operations against ISIS continue in Syria, with some tasks being transferred to Jordan to enable the U.S. to maintain its regional operations outside of Iraq. Iraq faces significant challenges in bridging gaps within its forces, especially in the Air Force and technology, to combat ISIS sleeper cells. The risks of the group's resurgence are increasing in the absence of direct American support, particularly in desert and border areas. Additionally, Iraqis are closely monitoring the growing influence of Iran-backed factions, complicating the government's efforts to balance relations between Washington and Tehran. While the withdrawal does not mean the end of U.S. military capability, it will not be easy politically, especially with external options remaining, notably through Jordan. The entire region has become more tense due to tensions with Iran and the possibility of future escalation. The key question remains: how capable is Iraq of maintaining security and stability without direct American military presence? Will this withdrawal lead to a more internally stable security situation, or will it open the door for ISIS and other armed groups to return?
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