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Dollar nears new highs
BCA Research believes the dollar’s rise could pave the way for a breakout from its current trading range, supported by the stronger performance of the U.S. economy and labor market. This could add to inflationary pressures, bolster expectations of tighter Federal Reserve policy, and push short-term yields higher. The dollar index rose 0.7% in a single day and climbed more than 1.5% above its level a week earlier, posting its highest close since early April 2025. The firm warns that waning momentum in the AI sector could weigh on the dollar over the longer term by reversing the wealth effect and reducing investment flows into equities.
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