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Ukraine faces a severe shortage of defensive capabilities in its war with Russia, particularly concerning the interception of ballistic missiles. Most of its American Patriot missile stockpile— the only means of intercepting ballistic missiles— has been destroyed as a result of the war with Iran and the losses incurred in the U.S. and European inventories. On its part, Russia is focusing on manufacturing and increasing the production of ballistic missiles such as the Iskander-M and Kinzhal, producing around 1,440 missiles annually compared to about 650 Patriot missiles in the United States, with support from North Korea. Given this imbalance, Ukraine may need to target missile factories, command centers, and launch sites; however, limited weapon supplies have so far prevented such actions. While the West possesses some technological tools, such as software updates to extend aircraft range, supplying advanced defense systems like the Tor missile systems remains complex due to Germany’s refusal to provide them and their limited range. As a result, Ukraine faces significant challenges in countering Russian missile attacks, with its defense effectiveness waning and the likelihood of increased retaliatory strikes on threat sources.
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