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Journalistic sources revealed a leaked distress cable reportedly sent by Jibril al-Houthi to Iran’s leadership through its representative. The cable warned of heavy human losses, fractures in the group’s popular support base, and fears of popular retaliation in Sanaa, while expressing the group’s concern that Yemen could see a repeat of the “tragedy of Karbala.” The leaks coincided with reports that 16-year-old Jibril was being prepared to succeed his father, and that the group had adopted a “shadow commanders” system in anticipation of its leaders being targeted. Abdul-Malik al-Houthi’s absence from his customary public appearances also fueled speculation about his health, though neither claims about his condition nor details of the cable have been independently confirmed.
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